Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ADA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.864412 0.990895 1.128584 1.289491 1.472261 1.673304 1.911110
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.722087 0.904261 1.119576 1.392339 1.728181 2.127674 2.638471
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.587788 0.799059 1.068493 1.436087 1.923255 2.545357 3.398600
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.494948 0.726290 1.042874 1.505364 2.161049 3.054213 4.359625
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.404743 0.638392 0.980065 1.512209 2.315503 3.477136 5.277294
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.342928 0.578562 0.945040 1.550623 2.519073 3.998224 6.415964
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.281204 0.505935 0.876566 1.524341 2.618164 4.376696 7.397908
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.248645 0.474616 0.867876 1.591309 2.874767 5.036119 8.919893
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.224326 0.452635 0.870455 1.676625 3.173962 5.805867 10.734796
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.195538 0.416367 0.840624 1.697709 3.361169 6.407245 12.340922
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.169581 0.380273 0.804360 1.699543 3.511170 6.959812 13.932393
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.148317 0.349479 0.772791 1.704435 3.666091 7.539685 15.650772
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.130382 0.322751 0.745821 1.716206 3.840869 8.190129 17.615419
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.117417 0.304711 0.734348 1.759314 4.088225 9.020623 20.061424
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.102812 0.279683 0.702778 1.752285 4.225960 9.643623 22.162891
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.093206 0.265095 0.692840 1.793482 4.478240 10.545205 24.986769
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.081549 0.242610 0.659676 1.773076 4.583877 11.137337 27.204470
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.073700 0.228798 0.645794 1.798262 4.803042 12.016744 30.197149
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.063944 0.207354 0.607995 1.755028 4.845130 12.486615 32.289139
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 0.059753 0.201512 0.611406 1.822578 5.182190 13.712039 36.370554
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 0.056712 0.198574 0.622470 1.913273 5.594547 15.177563 41.236789
2025-05-04 00:00:00+00:00 0.051629 0.187940 0.609302 1.932778 5.816404 16.188411 45.076913
2025-05-11 00:00:00+00:00 0.046535 0.176084 0.590283 1.931856 5.981191 17.072492 48.701853